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The Predictors

by Thomas A. Bass

From the Inside Flap
The idea of using chaos theory as a predictive tool had long intrigued the Chaos Cabal. They asked themselves, what nearby phenomena look random but actually contain hidden structure? the smoke curling up from an ashtray? the vortex formed around a sugar cube dropped in a cup of coffee? the stock data listed in the newspaper lying on the table?

In this deceptively simple question lay the roots of a great adventure in the world of money, an antic, frantic odyssey into a universe defined by the mystical convergence of physics and finance.

It never dawned on Doyne Farmer and Norman Packard--not when growing up together in the Southwest, not during their hippie grad-school days, not even when applying their collective genius in physics and mathematics to winning at roulette in Las Vegas--that someday they would end up as players, beating the Masters of the Universe from Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs at their own game. But of course it's only natural that these accomplished theorists, counted among the founders of the new science of chaos, would eventually turn their attention to what may be the most uncontrolled and chaotic phenomena of all--the global financial markets.

The Predictors is Thomas Bass's engrossing and often hilarious chronicle of how these two scientists--along with their team of T-shirted and ponytailed Ph.D.'s, and with the help of some very savvy financial gurus-attempted to decode and model the complex patterns underlying the apparently random movements of commodities, currency, and equities markets. On the dizzying ride from the Prediction Company's dusty offices above a Santa Fe fortune-teller to the glittering towers of Wall Street, Farmer and Packard find themselves in the company of virtually every cowboy trader and rogue millionaire who ever tackled the market. Bass brilliantly spins a tale of genius and greed, power brokers and rebels, all the while providing a brisk education in chaos, complexity, and the world financial markets.

For anyone who has ever dreamed of finding a way to outguess the wizards of Wall Street, The Predictors will be a ride as thrilling as a big market surge.

 

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The Predictors
by Thomas A. Bass
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